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- February 1993
-
- MONEY STOCK REVISIONS
- The attached historical data on the money stock reflect
- revisions from the annual benchmark and seasonal factor review.
- Monthly data for most items are shown from 1959 to 1992, and weekly
- figures for M1 and its components are shown from 1975 to 1992. Weekly
- figures for M2 and M3 are shown only for the period from 1981 to 1991,
- although weekly data for some individual components of the broader
- aggregates are shown for earlier years as well. Weekly data are based
- on weeks ended on Monday to correspond with the reporting cycle under
- contemporaneous reserve requirements. No data prior to 1975 have been
- constructed on the week-ended Monday basis.
- Data for the monetary aggregates have been benchmarked using
- call reports through September 1992 and other sources. The benchmark
- revision and seasonal revisions lowered the annual growth rate of M2
- by .2 percentage point over 1992. Other annual growth rates of M1, M2
- and M3 were revised by no more than .1 percentage point for any year.
- The benchmark incorporates a change in the type of data used
- to measure large time deposits held by domestic banks. Reports from
- issuing banks regarding bank holders of their CDs had previously been
- used; reports from banks of CDs they hold are now used, as they have
- been found to be more accurate. (This item is one of several that are
- subtracted from gross large time deposits to measure the quantity of
- such time deposits held by the nonbank public.) As a result of the
- change, this netting item revised upward by as much as $12 billion
- over the past seven years, thereby reducing the level of M3 by the
- same amount, but causing little revision to the annual growth rates of
- M3.
- The benchmark also incorporates corrections for the previous
- misreporting by banks of some brokered time deposits. Initially,
- these deposits had been misclassified as large time deposits, rather
- than as small time deposits. In last year's benchmark, this
- misclassification was corrected for data reported by several large
- banks in 1990 and 1991. In this year's benchmark, the
- misclassification was corrected for a large number of additional
- banks, for data reported over the past nine years. The
- reclassification of these deposits, which amounted to as much as
- $6 billion in 1988, boosted the level of M2 but left M3 unaffected.
- The benchmark also folded in historical data for several
- money market mutual funds that began reporting for the first time
- during 1992, raising the level of M3 by almost $9 billion in late
- 1992. Numerous other, smaller revisions were also made to the
- aggregates.
- Seasonal factors for the monetary aggregates have been
- revised using the X-11 ARIMA procedure applied to data through
- preliminary estimates for January 1993. The seasonal adjustment
- procedure used this year is identical to that of last year. The
- revisions to seasonal factors redistributed some growth in each of the
- aggregates from the first and fourth quarters to the second and third
- quarters of 1992.
-